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9 Posts tagged with the manufacturing tag
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OK, so we didn't pile on the Boeing vs. Northrop Grumman/EADS KC-X airborne tanker contract fiasco over the past few months. Sure, we covered it plenty (see here and here), but since the brouhaha over the awarding of the contract to - oh, horror - NG/EADS (a foreign company!) we've taken a wait-and-see tack. After all, everyone else seems to be asserting opinions, so why add to the excessive bloggage, right?

But now, Boeing is 3 days into a strike by The International Machinists and Aerospace Worker, which means they have no indigenous machinists to build their aircraft and parts. In the days leading up to the strike, Boeing had offered an 11% increase in wages, as well as improved bonus, pension and healthcare concessions. But that isn't what sent the machinists to the picket lines.

It was Boeing's intention to increase outsourcing of it's manufacturing overseas to improve its bottom line. The machinist's union wasn't having anymore of that, and they walked.

Wait a minute - just a few months ago, the Web was overrun with cyber-hooey from pundits and politicians, nearly all screaming bloody murder that the U.S. government was shooting itself (and citizenry) in the collective foot by giving work to NG/EADS. As the line went, that work would be best given to a U.S. company that would ensure U.S. workers - and the tax base - would get the benefits.

So isn't this a gross contradiction? Will Boeing getting the KC-X tanker contract be "good" because Boeing will use U.S. workers (as said a few months ago), or is Boeing planning on outsourcing like crazy (like, say, " ... 70 percent of all of the parts for its 787 aircraft ..."). Is Boeing American or unAmerican? Will they outsource or not outsource?

The fact is, if Boeing wants to outsource everything Katmandu to improve profits and efficiency they should be allowed to do it. And if the machinists want to challenge that, they should strike. This is democratic, like it or not.

But Boeing's portrayal as a patriotic protectionist on the one hand, and an outsourcing addict on the other is disingenuous and flat-out ridiculous.They can't be both at once, and only when it suits them.

It seems to me that between the tanker deal and the machinist strike, Boeing's in one heck of a PR pickle. It'll be interesting to see which Boeing emerges in the next few months.

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Autodesk - The Community

Posted by aj Jul 21, 2008

Regardless of your relationship with Autodesk, you should give their online community a bookmark.

If you're into design, grab a belt loop and hang on.

The Autodesk Manufacturing Community isn't JUST about Autodesk product (although you'll certainly get that in spades). You'll find a remarkable collection of manufacturing resources there. To whit:

  • 3D Content Sharing - Download 3D models from supplier partners and peers in the community - why reinvent the well, no?
  • Forums - Sure, they're related specifically to Autodesk product, but we're talking a collection of experts that can crowdsource many design issues - this is a great resource and worth the time to join.
  • Blogs - Again, while these are Autodesk-focused, they provide an extraordinary wellspring of manufacturing mojo and insight to any engineering or manufacturing design professional.

Communities, when done right, are tools to members and even visitors. The Autodesk community is another resource for manufacturers seeking advice, enlightenment, or solutions to design issues that cover the entire machining and manufacturing design landscape.

Heap strong manufacturing medicine.

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In a recent survey from Deloitte, U.S. manufacturing executives say they consider North America "the most desirable region for expansion over the next three years."

But before you go out and start pulling out the champagne, you should know - there's a catch.

First, the good news: the confluence of recent financial events is absolutely influencing U.S. businesses and where they choose to expand.

In terms of the executives' agendas for expansion, the survey found that sales and services topped the list with 76 percent planning to expand sales in the United States, 58 percent in Canada and 67 percent in Mexico. Sourcing of raw materials and parts (50 percent in China, 49 percent in the United States, and 43 percent in Mexico) and production (44 percent in the United States, 37 percent in Mexico and 37 percent in China) rounded out the top three priorities.

Overall, the vast majority of respondents said North America will not lose competitive ground in those areas over the next five years. And a significant number said they believe North America will become even more competitive by 2012 in sales and marketing (45 percent), information technology (41 percent), customer service (37 percent), R&D/engineering (36 percent) and finance/accounting (34 percent). A small percentage predicted that North America will be less competitive globally in these areas by 2012, with the balance being neutral.

And good news it is, because these are mostly high paying jobs that require intellectual competence but less direct manufacturing domain expertise.

And that brings us to the less than pleasant news, especially for those closest to the shop floor:

The only dark spot is production capability. Despite plans to expand in North America in the short term, survey respondents painted a gloomy picture of this region's ability to compete over the long run with lower-cost locations for production, especially Asia.

More than half of survey respondents (61 percent) said they expect North America to become even less competitive globally as a site for production by 2012. The key barriers to making production competitive globally were seen as labor cost (cited by 71 percent), tax policy (66 percent), work rules (66 percent), lack of availability of skilled labor (51 percent) and costs of raw materials and energy (56 percent). Not surprisingly, these were the issues most frequently cited by executives surveyed as areas that governments should address as matters of public policy.

Clearly, U.S. manufacturing management intends to continue outsourcing production to low cost countries. But while some companies may test those same regions to host their operations, most seem to be shifting toward North America for those ops - and that's not entirely a bad thing. According to Craig Griffi of Deloitte:

"The simplistic way to view manufacturing is to look only
where production is located. It's clear that a more accurate way to measure
the economic impact of these companies is to look at where all operations
are located, including sourcing, research and development, distribution,
finance, marketing, and all of the other functions necessary for a company
to thrive. In most cases, executives are telling us that North America
provides a competitive business environment for most of these activities."

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I have a new hero. His name is Bruce Stokes. He wrote an article that was published last month at NationalJournal.com titled "Lean On Me."

Bruce lays it on the line specifically for presumptive candidates McCain and Obama - but the 2 main points of his message should be screamed from the highest mountaintop.

mccainobama.jpg

First:

U.S. manufacturing is far from dead. Production and exports are up. And U.S.-based factories are finding ways to compete with China through lean production, a management revolution that can transform American industry.

And second:

Thanks to a weak dollar and high transportation costs, American manufacturing will be on the rebound for the next few years. The next administration will be tempted to sit back and enjoy this gift from the economic gods. That would be a mistake.

Read this article. Pass it along. It's not good enough that it's the truth.

It's the secret to regaining and retaining manufacturing mojo.

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Apparently for SMB manufacturers, there is safety - and bucks - in numbers. But how scalable and long-term this strategy becomes may all depend on the motive and how it's accomplished.

To fight the battle against low-cost manufacturing countries and shifting sources for discrete parts, materials and services, manufacturers everywhere are forming alliances and groups to provide tight geographic solutions clusters for buyers.

Forget for a moment - if that's possible - about the sense this makes with fuel and shipping costs where they are, or even about which country or region is the best candidate for coopetition.

Profit can play just as strong a role as survival to motivate previous competitors to cooperate.

crossed.jpg

For a perfect example of how coalitions of manufacturers are forming to reinvent the notion of competition and services in manufacturing (without a low-cost threat involved), check out Wikinomics: How Mass Collaboration Changes Everything (see the story of Chongqing and its formidable motorcycle designing and building network in China, beginning on page 219).

The Chongqing network is a free-forming, loosely based organism of drifting designers and engineers and machinists and assemblers that somehow work and collaborate as one of the world's most successful (re: profitable) motorcycle building businesses.

In the U.S., several regions and states have seen SMB manufacturers form coalitions to forego competitive relationships to survive.

No state has seen more setbacks than Michigan, and it has produced two examples of a more structured approach to coopetition:

  • Defense Contract Coordination Center (DC3) - This entity was created to connect military purchasing bodies with qualified Michigan-based manufacturers that match their needs.
  • United Tooling Coalition - This consortium of manufacturers have banded together to provide a one-stop, regionally tight destination for several services - dies, molds, machining, prototyping, design, fixtures, engineering, and more.

So, here's the rub. One approach is abstract, and allows for interaction and collaboration with little traditional structure. The other is linear, in that while it changes the channels through which work enters the companies it allows them to operate fundamentally the same.

Which model has the best chance to survive? One? Both? A combination?

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Today's MFGx guest blogger is Anita Berlanga, CEO of Bear Boring LLC, a custom machining shop in Wyoming, Illinois.

"What does not kill you makes you stronger," to paraphrase an oldie.

For small-to-midsize machine shops, the current economic recession - coupled with shocking fuel charges - will either kill us, or we will prevail and possibly even grow.

The media would have us cowering in our shops, scared to buy a paperclip, let alone explore inventive ways to maintain our customer base as well as grow during these difficult economic times but I posit that these are actually times of OPPORTUNITY for small-to-midsize machining and manufacturing businesses.

One example: As few as 5 years ago it looked as if we were on the ropes due to offshore sourcing. The current cost of fuel (coupled with other offshore difficulties) is allowing companies to reconsider shops that are more geographically desirable. How do we present ourselves to buyers to maximize this potential? What are the opportunities therein for the small jobshop or midsize manufacturer?

I don't have all the answers or I'd be in Tahiti, sipping a pina colada ... so I'm putting it to you, cyber-colleagues: what are YOUR plans to weather the current (and developing) conditions ... and maximize opportunity during these difficult times. Let's share some ideas:

One of our solutions is to provide our customers with value-added services. The big guys are sweating so you can imagine what your smaller customers are going through. Chat with your customers, find out what their concerns are, then see what you can do to address those concerns.

For example, we have a customer about 2 hours away with several processes to end-use. When we first teamed up with him we found he was sourcing casting 4 hours away from him (6 hrs from us), machining with us, powdercoating with yet another shop ... and these are relatively large parts ... if you look at this, it's easy to see that it rapidly becomes cost-ineffective for him to do business all over the tri-state area - shipping alone was eating him alive and that was before gas spiked over $4/gal!!! Our solution was to work with our local foundry and powdercoater to supply him with quotes for casting, etc. within our local area (a 20 mile radius). Now, instead of hundreds of dollars in shipping charges all over the place he has one shipping charge - back to him. In helping him keep his costs down we are hoping to help him stay in business, in general and with us!

One of my favorite phrases is: SOLVE THE PROBLEM. Most companies can get a machine shop - we're all over the place. It's harder to find a partner- one who can help the customer solve the problem. People tend to stick with their partners. In these perilous economic times, what tactics are you using to partner with your customers and help them solve their problems?

I thought it would be interesting to hear from some of you on this. We don't need particulars - just some ideas you might have for making it easier for small shops to take advantage of this economic downturn.

And that's another thing ... how do we help each other solve the problem? We can all survive this if we work together. Another example (I'm full of 'em): I just had an interesting chat with my painter - he's a tiny shop and often he's the only one there. He just had surgery on a badly damaged hand. Wrangling heavy beams is out of the question for a while. We had 2000+ lbs of frames that had to be powdercoated NOW and I suggested that I send one of our guys to help him lift the beams and he said 'well, it's my problem'. Bull - it's OUR problem. If the parts aren't done my customer will bite ME, not him. So it behooved me to get somebody over there to give him a hand. We met our deadline, the customer loves us and we solved the problem!

These economic times will cause us to react in one of two ways - we can hunker down and hang on tight to what we know, or we can explore other avenues of thinking how to do business. Do you collaborate with other machine shops that, perhaps, have a client base where processes can - and need to be- shared? If not, consider it. There is actually more business to be had with collaboration than exclusion, even amongst 'like' shops. Consider putting together an ad-hoc consortium. We have scored several HUGE jobs that way (you can have your attorney draw up a limited non-compete and you sign one, too! Works both ways). The lead shop is responsible for quality control and liaises with the customer - no cheating!!! One job we closed in the past month kept the doors open for 3 different shops, including our own. If our colleagues reciprocate, that's great. But if not, we're still all making money we wouldn't have made on our own.

This may sound all Pollyanna and everything, but consider this: the companies that are coming back onshore have been doing business with giant offshore shops with cheap labor. Even if that is changing, it's still their current benchmark so we have to be creative to give them a translatable value (it's unlikely we are going to be able to match their labor rates!). Communication, customer service and collaboration and problem-solving are all qualities that will help quantify your value and make your shop a viable contender.

And don't listen to the media - we will can prevail and grow during these times. But only if we work smart...and possibly work together.

Let's hear your thoughts on this!

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U.S. Military Is Suffering, Too

Posted by aj Jun 26, 2008

It looks like the shortage of manufacturing & technology labor in the U.S. is playing havoc with the U.S. military and government.

The dilemma is covered in a piece from the front page of yesterday's New York Times titled "Top Engineers Shun Military; Concern Grows" and authored by Philip Taubman.

According to the article and its sources, the erosion of engineering talent to manage military projects has "reached crisis proportions."

Over the last decade, even as spending on new military projects has reached its highest level since the Reagan years, the Pentagon has increasingly been losing the people most skilled at managing them. That brain drain, military experts ... say, is a big factor in a breakdown in engineering management that has made huge cost overruns and long delays the maddening norm. Mr. Kaminski's generation of engineers, which was responsible for many of the most successful military projects of the 1970s and '80s, is aging, and fewer of the nation's top young engineers, software developers and mathematicians are replacing them. Instead, they are joining high-tech companies and other civilian firms that provide not just better pay than the military or its contractors, but also greater cachet - what one former defense industry engineer called 'geek credit.'

Well, no kidding. The private manufacturing sector has been screaming to high heaven over engineering and manufacturing labor depletion for years.

allgone.jpg

There are task forces and senate committees and finger pointing to get to a solution for this symptom - as there should be. But that same scrutiny and urgency were needed when the private sector in the U.S. was leaking talent 15 years ago.

So, the primary symptom of the lack of high-caliber engineering governance is poor systems engineering.

... the central problem is a breakdown in the most basic element of any big military project: accurately assessing at the outset whether the technological goals are attainable and affordable, then managing the engineering to ensure that hardware and software are properly designed, tested and integrated ... Without it, projects can turn into chaotic, costly failures. Increasingly, that has become the case. What is more, the loss of government expertise has magnified the difficulties associated with another trend: In recent years, the Pentagon has transferred more and more oversight responsibility to its contractors, who themselves often lack sufficient systems-engineering skill and the incentives needed to hold down costs.

And isn't this also the main impact on manufacturers in the private sector when dealing with those shortages of engineering and shopfloor talent? And as the suppliers that support those projects just as important to the "crisis?"

And another thing, will this be used to leverage the argument towards Boeing's challenge of the KC-X tanker program? I sure hope not - that would just be an embarrassing instance of "post hoc ergo propter hoc." Oh, wait - I forgot who we're talking about here.

Anyway, I have some questions for you: How do you deal with the labor or intellectual shortage? How have you seen it first hand - whether it's a lack of design or systems engineering talent or shopfloor expertise? What are you doing to compensate? Is it even a problem at your company?

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Within the next 5 years, manufacturing in the U.S. will face a major crisis due to both a shortage of skilled labor as baby boomer manufacturers retire, and a limited labor pool from which to find qualified replacements.

So says a recent survey and study from Advanced Technology Services and Nielsen Research, Baby Boomer Retirement Fuels Skilled Labor Shortage in Manufacturing; Puts U.S. Industry in Crisis.

The need to replace these lost skilled workers has grown from a concern to a wholesale crisis in just three short years, according to 100 senior manufacturing executives who were surveyed. They say the shortfall will cost their companies an average $52 million, and even more, $100 million, for the nation's largest companies who report more than $1 billion in annual revenue.

Now, if you're within just a sniff of manufacturing you've heard about or lived this issue first hand. Nothing new here, right?

Wrong.

Q: Forecasts indicate that during the next five years, approximately 40% of your skilled labor force will retire. What do you anticipate the retirement of 40% of your skilled labor force will cost your company in these five years?

A: Eighty-one percent of respondents said they would be affected by the shortage, versus 68 percent three years ago, demonstrating this issue has become of even broader concern to manufacturing executives. Further, they calculate the looming retirement of skilled workers without an adequate replacement pool will cost them an average $52.2 million from their bottom lines, compared with an average $50 million when asked in 2005. And the cost is worse for companies with more than $1 billion in annual revenue, where 44 percent say the shortage will cost them more than $100 million.

What makes this different from everything you've heard over the years is that it looks like the time is here. Another impending crisis, another batch of warnings, and what happens?

We ignore it, shrug our shoulders, and then act shocked - shocked - that it really happened.

Again.

(With that in mind, now might be a good time to revisit 2 Million Minutes and see how you feel.)

And what really makes this a potentially Katrina-like "perfect storm" for manufacturing is the abysmal response of the U.S Government. I mean, do you really need for me to remind you of all the pleading to improve our abilities to educate and/or import a decent labor force in this country?

So, instead of a well-planned, fair set of solutions designed to maintain our manufacturing (and economic) significance, we're all gonna be in a dog-eat-dog bar fight to get the talent we need and any price, all else be damned.

And in the meantime, we'll moan about China being a boogie man for doing what we did to Britain 100+ years ago. We'll point accusing fingers at China for lead paint on toys while Mattel's asleep at the switch.

Looks like all that might be left to this "perfect storm" is to see who we're gonna blame for it.

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I can’t decide if solar energy is right for manufacturers as an energy source.

On the one hand, anything that gets us away from dependence on oil is nothing but a good thing. On the other, manufacturing businesses – especially SMBs – likely can’t justify the hefty initial investment in current solar technology.

http://www.mfgx.com/servlet/JiveServlet/downloadImage/1038/solar_panel.jpg

Please spare me the argument that it pays for itself, or that “you can sell back to the grid” to offset costs. Those are long-term issues for businesses with wicked cash flow and shrinking margins. And the energy needs of a manufacturer are much greater than most other businesses. Besides, if any technology gets the nod first, it’s likely gonna be for something that automates or improves the processes of the business.

For a quick video overview of solar power with consideration for manufacturing applications, check out this video from Cisco over at bMighty.com.
Now that you know where I stand, consider another angle to all this. In the video, the cat explaining how businesses buy and install solar technology says his company’s been seeing 50% growth every year. He goes on to point out that his two solar panel suppliers are “at capacity” and they’re in “the Philippines and Japan.”

So what about using solar power as a catalyst to help U.S. manufacturing? You can find several examples of solar power’s potential from myriad sources (here, here and here).

Solar power manufacturers are enjoying accelerated growth, while many in mature or shifting markets struggle. The time is right to make a change. It’s been suggested by many that bold initiatives are called for to rebuild the fading U.S. infrastructure – so why not a bold initiative to renew U.S. manufacturing dominance through solar power.

It kills 2 birds. Or, I should say, revives them.

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