Are you familiar with The Three Gorges Dam Project (TGDP)? If you're a manufacturer of any stripe and located in a mature manufacturing market, you should be. Because this project is a harbinger of the developing, never-ending onslaught of global competition that manufacturers will be dealing with for the foreseeable future.
For those lacking the energy to research the TGDP at the moment, here's a brief summary:
China began the Three Gorges Dam Project in 1992. It is the largest project of its kind since the building of the Great Wall. Some argue that it's the largest public works project in the history of the world. It will, in essence, bring the ocean to inland China. Its purpose is three-fold: to control flooding on the Yangtze River; to satisfy China's growing appetite for energy in a more "green" fashion, and; to bring economic prosperity to inland China.
Several folks are raising concerns (to put it mildly) over the project's environmental and social impact - erosion, the displacement of over 1-million people, and water pollution are among the biggest concerns. But it's that last point from my summary -
bringing economic prosperity to inland China - I'd like to riff on a bit.
They're bringing the ocean nearly
1,500 miles inland. The
ocean. By making low-income areas of the inland accessible to ocean-going vessels, the Chinese government will fast-track economic stimuli to rural China. Think of the electrification of rural America, on steroids.
They're creating, for all practical purposes, a new economy and a new country. See this quote from the Washington Post piece linked to below:
"The dam's supporters call it a triumph of human determination and ingenuity, crucial for controlling lethal floods and generating clean, much-needed energy for China's populous Yangtze River valley, where a third of China's 1.2 billion people live. Whereas trackers on the river banks once strained on ropes to help boats up the river, the dam will enable ocean-going ships to travel 1,500 miles inland to the city of Chongqing."
All along the way villages will become hubs, allowing businesses to emerge and thrive from the international trade and access the TGDP brings.
New businesses.
Manufacturing businesses.
What's my point? It's that when you think you have a chance to catch your breath or seize opportunity from eliminated value added taxes or capitalize on rising export tariffs or relish in scooters with lead paint - someone goes and
creates a new low-cost country.
And it's just going to keep coming. New sources of low cost manufacturing suppliers will be emerging at faster rates in the future.
For more insight into how many countries are poised to emerge as manufacturing playuhs, check out this section of the
SAP Global Report on Culture, Business & Social Media. It's a study conducted on behalf of SAP to determine the fertility of countries and regions to accept social-based Web services, and it provides a compelling case for the number of countries likely to develop into your competitors. Soon.
Today, as the price to do business in China rises and buyers reassess their indigenous sourcing options, seize upon the opportunities to get some of that work back.
But understand that these opportunities are only temporary.
MFGx Note: - Read about The Three Gorges Project online here:
- Wikipedia - An excellent primer on the overall project.
- The Washington Post - An excellent overview of the project, albeit from 1997.
- Window Of China - This press item updates the economic impact of the project on the region.
- Time Magazine - A review of the environmental impact of the project.
- Encyclopedia Of Earth - A measured description of the potential impact of the Three Gorges Dam Project.
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